The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth

Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software

Arna Olafsson, Michaela Pagel

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

Abstract

We use a very accurate panel of all individual spending, income, balances, and credit limits from a financial aggregation app, and we document significant spending responses to the arrival of both regular and irregular income. These payday responses are clean, robust, and homogeneous for all income and spending categories throughout the income distribution. Spending responses to income are typically explained by households’ capital structures. Households that hold little or no liquid wealth have to consume hand-to-mouth. However, we find that few individuals hold little or no liquidity, and we report that liquidity holdings are much larger than predicted by state-of-the-art models that explain spending responses with liquidity constraints due to illiquid savings. Given that present liquidity constraints do not bind, we analyze whether individuals hold liquidity cushions to cope with future liquidity constraints. To that end, we analyze cash-holding responses to income payments inspired by the corporate finance literature. However, we find that individuals’ cash responses are consistent with standard models without illiquid savings, and neither present nor future liquidity constraints being frequently binding. Because these models are inconsistent with payday responses, we feel that the evidence therefore suggest the existence of “liquid hand-to-mouth” households that spend heuristically.
Original languageEnglish
Publication date2017
Number of pages54
Publication statusPublished - 2017
EventThe 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017 - Sheraton Grand Chicago, Chicago, United States
Duration: 6 Jan 20178 Jan 2017
Conference number: 77
http://www.afajof.org/details/page/8672741/Paper-Submission-2017.html

Conference

ConferenceThe 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017
Number77
LocationSheraton Grand Chicago
CountryUnited States
CityChicago
Period06/01/201708/01/2017
Internet address

Cite this

Olafsson, A., & Pagel, M. (2017). The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth: Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software. Paper presented at The 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017, Chicago, United States.
Olafsson, Arna ; Pagel, Michaela. / The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth : Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software. Paper presented at The 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017, Chicago, United States.54 p.
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Olafsson, A & Pagel, M 2017, 'The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth: Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software' Paper presented at, Chicago, United States, 06/01/2017 - 08/01/2017, .

The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth : Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software. / Olafsson, Arna ; Pagel, Michaela.

2017. Paper presented at The 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017, Chicago, United States.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

TY - CONF

T1 - The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth

T2 - Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software

AU - Olafsson, Arna

AU - Pagel, Michaela

PY - 2017

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AB - We use a very accurate panel of all individual spending, income, balances, and credit limits from a financial aggregation app, and we document significant spending responses to the arrival of both regular and irregular income. These payday responses are clean, robust, and homogeneous for all income and spending categories throughout the income distribution. Spending responses to income are typically explained by households’ capital structures. Households that hold little or no liquid wealth have to consume hand-to-mouth. However, we find that few individuals hold little or no liquidity, and we report that liquidity holdings are much larger than predicted by state-of-the-art models that explain spending responses with liquidity constraints due to illiquid savings. Given that present liquidity constraints do not bind, we analyze whether individuals hold liquidity cushions to cope with future liquidity constraints. To that end, we analyze cash-holding responses to income payments inspired by the corporate finance literature. However, we find that individuals’ cash responses are consistent with standard models without illiquid savings, and neither present nor future liquidity constraints being frequently binding. Because these models are inconsistent with payday responses, we feel that the evidence therefore suggest the existence of “liquid hand-to-mouth” households that spend heuristically.

M3 - Paper

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Olafsson A, Pagel M. The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth: Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software. 2017. Paper presented at The 77th Annual Meeting of American Finance Association. AFA 2017, Chicago, United States.