Robust Transmission Planning: An Application to the Case of Germany in 2050

Alexander Weber*, Clemens Gerbaulet, Christian Von Hirschhausen, Jens Weibezahn

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Technological advances and climate considerations drive substantial changes within the electricity sector. Yet, these changes, although their thrust might be intuitive, are subject to large uncertainties: Technologies may be available earlier or later, international/regional co-ordination may work better or worse etc. This poses significant challenges to the task of transmission planning: Therefore, in this paper, we analyze how these uncertainties may impact transmission planning and how these impacts can be mitigated. We put a special focus on 'robust' optimization techniques and analyze a stylized model of Germany in 2050. We find, somewhat counter-intuitively, that 'classical' robust optimization techniques may lead to imbalanced decisions, focusing on only one of several possible realizations, especially when the absolute impact of the exogenous uncertainties leads to strongly differing costs. In that case, minimizing the maximum regret may be more preferable. Overall, we find evidence that techniques of robust transmission planning allow for savings in transmission investment and power system operations.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017
Number of pages6
Place of PublicationLos Alamos, CA
PublisherIEEE Computer Society Press
Publication date2017
Article number7982033
ISBN (Print)9781509055005
ISBN (Electronic)9781509054992
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2017
Externally publishedYes
Event14th International Conference on the European Energy Market - Dresden, Germany
Duration: 6 Jun 20179 Jun 2017
Conference number: 14

Conference

Conference14th International Conference on the European Energy Market
Number14
CountryGermany
CityDresden
Period06/06/201709/06/2017
SeriesInternational Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM
ISSN2165-4077

Keywords

  • Power transmission
  • Robust optimization
  • Transmission expansion planning

Cite this