Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures

Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum

Christina Garsten, Adrienne Sörbom

    Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

    Abstract

    The implications of globalization and geopolitical shifts are central concerns in think tanks and other organizations geared to producing knowledge about the contemporary world. The World Economic Forum, a nonprofit international organization headquartered in Geneva, concentrates a large part of its work around the production of The Global Risks Report. The paper discusses the The Global Risks Report and the models of alternative futures outlined in the report, as examples of organizational scenario-building. The report draws on expertise available within the different communities and knowledge networks created by the WEF and builds on research, projects, debates and initiatives piloted by the organization. The three scenarios for possible futures developed in this context are discussed with special attention placed on the forms of knowledge underlying their creation. It is suggested that the scenarios articulate a particular form of 'anticipatory knowledge', geared to contribute to the shaping of political priorities and agendas. The scenarios aim to shape perceptions of what constitute 'global problems', and how they might best be addressed and governed. Hence, they contribute to the anticipatory governance of WEF, i.e. governance geared to integrate imaginaries of the future into regulatory processes.
    Original languageEnglish
    Publication date2016
    Number of pages18
    Publication statusPublished - 2016
    Event14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016 - University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
    Duration: 20 Jul 201623 Jul 2016
    Conference number: 14
    http://www.easaonline.org/conferences/easa2016/index.shtml

    Conference

    Conference14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016
    Number14
    LocationUniversity of Milano-Bicocca
    CountryItaly
    CityMilan
    Period20/07/201623/07/2016
    Internet address

    Cite this

    Garsten, C., & Sörbom, A. (2016). Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures: Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum. Paper presented at 14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016, Milan, Italy.
    Garsten, Christina ; Sörbom, Adrienne. / Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures : Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum. Paper presented at 14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016, Milan, Italy.18 p.
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    Garsten, C & Sörbom, A 2016, 'Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures: Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum' Paper presented at, Milan, Italy, 20/07/2016 - 23/07/2016, .

    Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures : Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum. / Garsten, Christina; Sörbom, Adrienne.

    2016. Paper presented at 14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016, Milan, Italy.

    Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

    TY - CONF

    T1 - Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures

    T2 - Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum

    AU - Garsten, Christina

    AU - Sörbom, Adrienne

    PY - 2016

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    N2 - The implications of globalization and geopolitical shifts are central concerns in think tanks and other organizations geared to producing knowledge about the contemporary world. The World Economic Forum, a nonprofit international organization headquartered in Geneva, concentrates a large part of its work around the production of The Global Risks Report. The paper discusses the The Global Risks Report and the models of alternative futures outlined in the report, as examples of organizational scenario-building. The report draws on expertise available within the different communities and knowledge networks created by the WEF and builds on research, projects, debates and initiatives piloted by the organization. The three scenarios for possible futures developed in this context are discussed with special attention placed on the forms of knowledge underlying their creation. It is suggested that the scenarios articulate a particular form of 'anticipatory knowledge', geared to contribute to the shaping of political priorities and agendas. The scenarios aim to shape perceptions of what constitute 'global problems', and how they might best be addressed and governed. Hence, they contribute to the anticipatory governance of WEF, i.e. governance geared to integrate imaginaries of the future into regulatory processes.

    AB - The implications of globalization and geopolitical shifts are central concerns in think tanks and other organizations geared to producing knowledge about the contemporary world. The World Economic Forum, a nonprofit international organization headquartered in Geneva, concentrates a large part of its work around the production of The Global Risks Report. The paper discusses the The Global Risks Report and the models of alternative futures outlined in the report, as examples of organizational scenario-building. The report draws on expertise available within the different communities and knowledge networks created by the WEF and builds on research, projects, debates and initiatives piloted by the organization. The three scenarios for possible futures developed in this context are discussed with special attention placed on the forms of knowledge underlying their creation. It is suggested that the scenarios articulate a particular form of 'anticipatory knowledge', geared to contribute to the shaping of political priorities and agendas. The scenarios aim to shape perceptions of what constitute 'global problems', and how they might best be addressed and governed. Hence, they contribute to the anticipatory governance of WEF, i.e. governance geared to integrate imaginaries of the future into regulatory processes.

    M3 - Paper

    ER -

    Garsten C, Sörbom A. Risk, Resilience, and Alternative Futures: Scenario-building at the World Economic Forum. 2016. Paper presented at 14th EASA Biennial Conference 2016, Milan, Italy.