Essays on Foreign Exchange and Credit Risk

Andreas Bang Nielsen

Research output: Book/ReportPh.D. thesisResearch

33 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

We investigate how currency denomination a ects the price of credit risky securities of the same issuer. We focus on eurozone sovereign quanto spreads, i.e., di erences in credit default swap (CDS) premiums denominated in U.S. dollar and Euro of the same reference entity. Quanto spreads of eurozone sovereigns reached unprecedented levels during the European debt crisis and have remained signi cant ever since. Quanto spreads do not simply re ect di erences in contractual terms linked to currency denomination, because CDS contracts trade under the same standardized terms independent of currency denomination, including credit events and recovery rates. In order to understand which factors drive quanto spreads, we propose a no-arbitrage model that shows in a simple and rigorous manner that quanto spreads arise without any market frictions through two risk channels. The rst channel, currency crash risk, re ects the risk of an adverse jump in domestic versus foreign currency triggered by default of the reference entity. Intuitively, currency crash risk causes the expected recovery payment to be relatively smaller on the domestic CDS compared to the foreign CDS, because the recovery payment on the domestic contract is received in the 'crashed' currency.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationFrederiksberg
PublisherCopenhagen Business School [Phd]
Number of pages209
ISBN (Print)9788793579989
ISBN (Electronic)9788793579996
Publication statusPublished - 2018
SeriesPhD series
Number26.2018
ISSN0906-6934

Cite this

Bang Nielsen, A. (2018). Essays on Foreign Exchange and Credit Risk. Copenhagen Business School [Phd]. PhD series, No. 26.2018