We focus on the role of the opportunity cost in the choice for entrepreneurship in favor of wage employment, that is, the wages given up as an employee. We argue that just like outside observers, potential entrepreneurs will face great difficulty to predict their earnings from entrepreneurship. The focus on earnings forgone may help to solve the lack of robust empirical support for the effect of financial incentives on the decision to become an entrepreneur. We find, consistent with standard theory, that a higher mean, lower variance, and higher skew in the relevant wage distribution reduce the likelihood of entrepreneurship.
Berkhout, P., Hartog, J., & Van Praag, M. (2016). Entrepreneurship and Financial Incentives of Return, Risk, and Skew. Entrepreneurship: Theory and Practice, 40(2), 249-268. https://doi.org/10.1111/etap.12219