Central Bank Target Rates and Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Study of Six Asia-pacific Countries

Anoop Rai, Rama Seth*, Nancy A. White

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

Granger causality tests find that the official interest rate (OIR) changes made by the central banks of Australia, China, India, South Korea, Philippines, and Taiwan cause OIR changes at other central banks, but no central bank dominates in its impact. Event study tests show that OIR announcements impact short-term market interest rates more than long-term market interest rates in their own countries. Our study shows that announcements by India and China have the largest impact on the other four countries. Markets anticipate OIR changes consistent with the objective of transparency by monetary authorities to reduce economy uncertainty for market participants.
Original languageEnglish
JournalIIMB Management Review
Volume31
Issue number3
Pages (from-to)223-237
Number of pages15
ISSN0970-3896
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2019

Bibliographical note

Published online: 1. April 2019

Keywords

  • Official discount rate
  • Monetary transmission
  • Target rates
  • Term structure
  • Central bank announcements

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