Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Non-parametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration

Melanie Arntz, Simon M. S. Lo, Ralf Wilke

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review


By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude any meaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50 % of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state.
Original languageEnglish
JournalEmpirical Economics
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)199-228
Publication statusPublished - 2014
Externally publishedYes

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