A Framework of Uncertainty in Medical Decision Making

Laurel Austin, John Brodersen, Susanne Reventlow, Peter Sandøe

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Historically, medical decisions have primarily involved diagnosis and treatment of
symptomatic patients. Increasingly, medical decisions concern uncertain future health states in asymptomatic people. We construct a taxonomy of five medical decision situations that encompasses these wider possibilities. For each, we identify potential sources of uncertainty that should be considered when assessing the degree of belief that a person has, or will have, a condition. Decision trees illustrate the normative structure of each situation. The five decision situations involve: 1) assessing the symptomatic patient; 2) assessing someone for an asymptomatic condition; 3) assessing someone for increased risk of a future condition; 4) simultaneously assessing multiple risks factors for one person; and 5) assessing the individual based only on population membership.
Original languageEnglish
Publication date2009
Number of pages27
Publication statusPublished - 2009
EventWorkshop Conducted at the 16th Nordic Congress of General Practice : The Future Role of General Practice : Managing Multiple Agendas - København, Denmark
Duration: 13 May 200916 May 2009
Conference number: 16

Conference

ConferenceWorkshop Conducted at the 16th Nordic Congress of General Practice : The Future Role of General Practice : Managing Multiple Agendas
Number16
CountryDenmark
CityKøbenhavn
Period13/05/200916/05/2009

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