The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration

Gayane Vardanyan, Gaia Narciso, Battista Severgnini

Publikation: Bidrag til konferencePaperForskningpeer review

Resumé

This study investigates how negative historical shocks can explain migration in the long-run. We construct a unique dataset based on the 1901 and 1911 Irish Census data and a selection of the Ellis Island Administrative Records which allow us to test whether the Great Irish Famine (1845-1850), one of the most lethal starvation in history, has shaped the decision of migrating to the USA in the following 70 years. We control for several set of individual and geographical characteristics and we find that the Irish Famine was an important significant driver of individuals’ migration choices. Instrumental variable analysis based on the exogenous spread of the potato blight provides consistent results.
This study investigates how negative historical shocks can explain migration in the long-run. We construct a unique dataset based on the 1901 and 1911 Irish Census data and a selection of the Ellis Island Administrative Records which allow us to test whether the Great Irish Famine (1845-1850), one of the most lethal starvation in history, has shaped the decision of migrating to the USA in the following 70 years. We control for several set of individual and geographical characteristics and we find that the Irish Famine was an important significant driver of individuals’ migration choices. Instrumental variable analysis based on the exogenous spread of the potato blight provides consistent results.

Konference

Konference15th Annual Migration Meeting
Nummer15
LokationHarvard Kennedy School
LandUSA
ByCambridge
Periode09/08/201810/08/2018
Internetadresse

Emneord

  • Mass migration
  • Negative shock
  • Long-run impact
  • Great Famine

Citer dette

Vardanyan, G., Narciso, G., & Severgnini, B. (2018). The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration. Afhandling præsenteret på 15th Annual Migration Meeting, Cambridge, USA.
Vardanyan, Gayane ; Narciso, Gaia ; Severgnini, Battista. / The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate : Evidence from the Irish Migration. Afhandling præsenteret på 15th Annual Migration Meeting, Cambridge, USA.5 s.
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Vardanyan, G, Narciso, G & Severgnini, B 2018, 'The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration' Paper fremlagt ved 15th Annual Migration Meeting, Cambridge, USA, 09/08/2018 - 10/08/2018, .

The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate : Evidence from the Irish Migration. / Vardanyan, Gayane; Narciso, Gaia; Severgnini, Battista.

2018. Afhandling præsenteret på 15th Annual Migration Meeting, Cambridge, USA.

Publikation: Bidrag til konferencePaperForskningpeer review

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Vardanyan G, Narciso G, Severgnini B. The Long-run Impact of Historical Shocks on the Decision to Migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration. 2018. Afhandling præsenteret på 15th Annual Migration Meeting, Cambridge, USA.