Resumé
and credit markets are related. We explore this relation, using the joint crosssection of stock returns and risk premia estimated from forward credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Consistent with structural models, we nd that rms' equity returns and Sharpe ratios increase with estimated credit risk premia and that the returns of buying high and selling low credit risk premium rms cannot be explained by traditional risk factors. Credit risk premia contain equity-relevant information neither captured by risk-neutral nor by actual default probabilities. This sheds new light on the distress puzzle, i.e. the lack of a positive relation between equity returns and default probabilities reported in previous studies. Our results are robust across pre-crisis and crisis sub-samples, return weighting schemes, full- and out-of-sample parameter estimations, and CDS data sources.
and credit markets are related. We explore this relation, using the joint crosssection of stock returns and risk premia estimated from forward credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Consistent with structural models, we nd that rms' equity returns and Sharpe ratios increase with estimated credit risk premia and that the returns of buying high and selling low credit risk premium rms cannot be explained by traditional risk factors. Credit risk premia contain equity-relevant information neither captured by risk-neutral nor by actual default probabilities. This sheds new light on the distress puzzle, i.e. the lack of a positive relation between equity returns and default probabilities reported in previous studies. Our results are robust across pre-crisis and crisis sub-samples, return weighting schemes, full- and out-of-sample parameter estimations, and CDS data sources.
| Sprog | Engelsk |
|---|---|
| Dato | 2012 |
| Antal sider | 71 |
| Status | Udgivet - 2012 |
| Begivenhed | The 39th European Finance Association Annual Meeting (EFA 2012) - Copenhagen Business School, Frederiksberg, Danmark Varighed: 15 aug. 2012 → 18 aug. 2012 Konferencens nummer: 39 http://www.efa2012.org/ |
Konference
| Konference | The 39th European Finance Association Annual Meeting (EFA 2012) |
|---|---|
| Nummer | 39 |
| Lokation | Copenhagen Business School |
| Land | Danmark |
| By | Frederiksberg |
| Periode | 15/08/2012 → 18/08/2012 |
| Internetadresse |
Emneord
- Equity returns
- Default risk
- Risk premia
- Credit default swaps
- Cross-sectional asset pricing
Citer dette
}
The Cross-Section of Credit Risk Premia and Equity Returns. / Friewald, Nils; Wagner, Christian; Zechner, Josef .
2012. Afhandling præsenteret på The 39th European Finance Association Annual Meeting (EFA 2012), Frederiksberg, Danmark.Publikation: Bidrag til konference › Paper › Forskning › peer review
TY - CONF
T1 - The Cross-Section of Credit Risk Premia and Equity Returns
AU - Friewald,Nils
AU - Wagner,Christian
AU - Zechner,Josef
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - Structural models a la Merton (1974) imply that rms' risk premia in equityand credit markets are related. We explore this relation, using the joint crosssection of stock returns and risk premia estimated from forward credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Consistent with structural models, we nd that rms' equity returns and Sharpe ratios increase with estimated credit risk premia and that the returns of buying high and selling low credit risk premium rms cannot be explained by traditional risk factors. Credit risk premia contain equity-relevant information neither captured by risk-neutral nor by actual default probabilities. This sheds new light on the distress puzzle, i.e. the lack of a positive relation between equity returns and default probabilities reported in previous studies. Our results are robust across pre-crisis and crisis sub-samples, return weighting schemes, full- and out-of-sample parameter estimations, and CDS data sources.
AB - Structural models a la Merton (1974) imply that rms' risk premia in equityand credit markets are related. We explore this relation, using the joint crosssection of stock returns and risk premia estimated from forward credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Consistent with structural models, we nd that rms' equity returns and Sharpe ratios increase with estimated credit risk premia and that the returns of buying high and selling low credit risk premium rms cannot be explained by traditional risk factors. Credit risk premia contain equity-relevant information neither captured by risk-neutral nor by actual default probabilities. This sheds new light on the distress puzzle, i.e. the lack of a positive relation between equity returns and default probabilities reported in previous studies. Our results are robust across pre-crisis and crisis sub-samples, return weighting schemes, full- and out-of-sample parameter estimations, and CDS data sources.
KW - Equity returns
KW - Default risk
KW - Risk premia
KW - Credit default swaps
KW - Cross-sectional asset pricing
M3 - Paper
ER -