Robust Transmission Planning: An Application to the Case of Germany in 2050

Alexander Weber*, Clemens Gerbaulet, Christian Von Hirschhausen, Jens Weibezahn

*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapportKonferencebidrag i proceedingsForskningpeer review


Technological advances and climate considerations drive substantial changes within the electricity sector. Yet, these changes, although their thrust might be intuitive, are subject to large uncertainties: Technologies may be available earlier or later, international/regional co-ordination may work better or worse etc. This poses significant challenges to the task of transmission planning: Therefore, in this paper, we analyze how these uncertainties may impact transmission planning and how these impacts can be mitigated. We put a special focus on 'robust' optimization techniques and analyze a stylized model of Germany in 2050. We find, somewhat counter-intuitively, that 'classical' robust optimization techniques may lead to imbalanced decisions, focusing on only one of several possible realizations, especially when the absolute impact of the exogenous uncertainties leads to strongly differing costs. In that case, minimizing the maximum regret may be more preferable. Overall, we find evidence that techniques of robust transmission planning allow for savings in transmission investment and power system operations.
Titel14th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 2017
Antal sider6
UdgivelsesstedLos Alamitos, CA
ForlagIEEE Computer Society Press
ISBN (Trykt)9781509055005
ISBN (Elektronisk)9781509054992
StatusUdgivet - 2017
Udgivet eksterntJa
BegivenhedThe 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market. EEM 2017 - Dresden, Tyskland
Varighed: 6 jun. 20179 jun. 2017
Konferencens nummer: 14


KonferenceThe 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market. EEM 2017
NavnInternational Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM

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