Opinion Averaging Versus Argument Exchange

Ulrike Hahn, Leon Assaad, Jason W. Burton

Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapportKonferencebidrag i proceedingsForskning

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Abstract

Opinion averaging is a common means of judgment aggregation that is employed in the service of crowd wisdom effects. In this paper, we use simulations with agent-based models to highlight contexts in which opinion averaging leads to poor outcomes. Specifically, we illustrate the conditions under which the optimal posterior prescribed by a normative model of Bayesian argument exchange diverges from the mean belief that would be arrived at via simple averaging. The theoretical and practical implications of this are discussed.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
Titel46th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (CogSci 2024)
Antal sider7
ForlagCognitive Science Society
Publikationsdato2024
Sider4554-4560
StatusUdgivet - 2024
NavnProceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society
Vol/bind46
ISSN1069-7977

Emneord

  • Opinion dynamics
  • Averaging
  • Argument
  • Wisdom of the crowd
  • Agent-based simulation

Citationsformater