Learning Through Scenario Planning

Jose Balarezo

Learning Through Scenario Planning

Jose Balarezo

Publikation: Bog/antologi/afhandling/rapport › Ph.d.-afhandling

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Abstract

Dette projekt undersøger brugen og effekterne af scenarie planlægning i virksomheder der opererer i usikre og dynamiske omgivelser. Eksisterende forskning i scenarie planlægning har ikke i tilstrækkelig grad frembragt empirisk belæg for de forskellige mekanismer og effekter der gør sig gældende på individuelt og organisatorisk niveau. Denne afhandling udfylder dette tomrum ved at undersøge dynamikkerne i organisatorisk læring set fra et scenarie-planlægningsperspektiv. Dette styrker vores videnskabelig forståelse af den rolle som scenarie planlægning kan spille i forhold til organisatorisk lærings- og strategiske fornyelsesprocesser. Afhandlingen præsenterer empirisk data som dokumenterer de vanskeligheder der kan opstå når ny viden bevæger sig igennem forskellige organisatoriske og hierarkiske lag. På trods af kognitive og socialpsykologiske barrierer viser afhandlingen nye og overraskende måder hvorpå organisationer kan bruge scenarie planlægning til at balancerer spændingen mellem exploration og exploitation. Ydermere præsenteres to nye teknikker designet til at forbedre læringsprocesser. Afhandling er bygget op af fire artikler der samlet set både konsoliderer vores teoretiske forståelse af scenarie planlægning og præsenterer et nuanceret billede af den individuelle adfærd og de sociale dynamikker der udgør grundlaget for organisatorisk læring.

Originalsprog	Engelsk

Udgivelsessted	Frederiksberg
Forlag	Copenhagen Business School [Phd]
Antal sider	260
ISBN (Trykt)	9788793339163
ISBN (Elektronisk)	9788793339170
Status	Udgivet - 2015

Navn	PhD series
Nummer	17.2015
ISSN	0906-6934

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title = "Learning Through Scenario Planning",

abstract = "This project investigates the uses and effects of scenario planning in companies operating in highly uncertain and dynamic environments. Whereas previous research on scenario planning has fallen short of providing sufficient evidence of its mechanisms and effects on individual or organizational level variables, this research corrects this void by investigating the dynamics of organizational learning through the lenses of a corporate scenario planning process. This enhances our scientific understanding of the role that scenario planning might play in the context of organizational learning and strategic renewal. Empirical evidence of the various difficulties that learning flows has to overcome as it journeys through organizational and hierarchical levels are presented. Despite various cognitive and social psychological barriers identified along the way, the results show the novel and counterintuitive ways in which an organization uses scenario planning in balancing the tension between exploration and exploitation. Moreover, this research proposes two novel mechanisms designed to enhance learning flows. At the core of this dissertation are four papers which in combination solidify our theoretical understanding of scenario planning while simultaneously presenting a more nuanced account of the individual behaviors and social dynamics underpinning organizational learning.",

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AB - This project investigates the uses and effects of scenario planning in companies operating in highly uncertain and dynamic environments. Whereas previous research on scenario planning has fallen short of providing sufficient evidence of its mechanisms and effects on individual or organizational level variables, this research corrects this void by investigating the dynamics of organizational learning through the lenses of a corporate scenario planning process. This enhances our scientific understanding of the role that scenario planning might play in the context of organizational learning and strategic renewal. Empirical evidence of the various difficulties that learning flows has to overcome as it journeys through organizational and hierarchical levels are presented. Despite various cognitive and social psychological barriers identified along the way, the results show the novel and counterintuitive ways in which an organization uses scenario planning in balancing the tension between exploration and exploitation. Moreover, this research proposes two novel mechanisms designed to enhance learning flows. At the core of this dissertation are four papers which in combination solidify our theoretical understanding of scenario planning while simultaneously presenting a more nuanced account of the individual behaviors and social dynamics underpinning organizational learning.

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