Informal Central Bank Communication

Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

    Publikation: KonferencebidragPaperForskningpeer review

    Abstract

    Starting from a set of facts on the timing of stock returns relative to Federal Reserve decision-making, I argue that informal communication – including unattributed communication - plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an institution, but these should be weighed against substantial costs: It runs counter to accountability to use unattributed communication, causes frustration among those trying to understand central bank intensions, and enables use of such communication by individual policymakers. Unattributed communication driven by policymaker disagreements is unambiguously welfare reducing, because it reduces policy flexibility and harms the central bank’s credibility and decision-making process. I suggest that central banks resist unattributed communication via expensive newsletters and increase consensus-building efforts to reduce disagreement-driven unattributed communication.
    OriginalsprogEngelsk
    Publikationsdato2020
    Antal sider12
    StatusUdgivet - 2020
    BegivenhedECB Forum on Central Banking 2020 - Online event, Sintra, Portugal
    Varighed: 11 nov. 202012 nov. 2020
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/html/20201111_ecb_forum_on_central_banking.en.html

    Konference

    KonferenceECB Forum on Central Banking 2020
    LokationOnline event
    Land/OmrådePortugal
    BySintra
    Periode11/11/202012/11/2020
    Internetadresse

    Citationsformater