Detecting Heterogeneous Risk Attitudes with Mixed Gambles

Luís Santos-Pinto*, Adrian Bruhin, José Mata, Thomas Åstebro

*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningpeer review

Abstrakt

We propose a task for eliciting attitudes toward risk that is close to real-world risky decisions which typically involve gains and losses. The task consists of accepting or rejecting gambles that provide a gain with probability p and a loss with probability 1−p. We employ finite mixture models to uncover heterogeneity in risk preferences and find that (i) behavior is heterogeneous, with one half of the subjects behaving as expected utility maximizers, (ii) for the others, reference-dependent models perform better than those where subjects derive utility from final outcomes, (iii) models with sign-dependent decision weights perform better than those without, and (iv) there is no evidence for loss aversion. The procedure is sufficiently simple so that it can be easily used in field or lab experiments where risk elicitation is not the main experiment.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftTheory and Decision
Vol/bind79
Udgave nummer4
Sider (fra-til)573–600
Antal sider28
ISSN0040-5833
DOI
StatusUdgivet - dec. 2015
Udgivet eksterntJa

Emneord

  • Individual risk-taking behavior
  • Latent heterogeneity
  • Finite mixture models
  • Reference-dependence
  • Loss aversion

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