Credit Spreads Across the Business Cycle

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Abstract

This paper studies how corporate bond spreads vary with the business cycle.
I show that both level and slope of empirical credit spread curves are correlated
with the state of the economy, and I link this to variation in idiosyncratic jump
risk. I develop a structural credit risk model that accounts for both business cycle
and jump risk, and show by estimation that the model captures the counter-cyclical level and pro-cyclical slope of empirical credit spread curves. In addition, I provide a new procedure for estimation of idiosyncratic jump risk, which is consistent with observed shocks to firm fundamentals.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
Publikationsdato2012
Antal sider60
StatusUdgivet - 2012
BegivenhedThe 39th European Finance Association Annual Meeting (EFA 2012) - Copenhagen Business School, Frederiksberg, Danmark
Varighed: 15 aug. 201218 aug. 2012
Konferencens nummer: 39
http://www.efa2012.org/

Konference

KonferenceThe 39th European Finance Association Annual Meeting (EFA 2012)
Nummer39
LokationCopenhagen Business School
Land/OmrådeDanmark
ByFrederiksberg
Periode15/08/201218/08/2012
Internetadresse

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