Attributing Policy Influence under Coalition Governance

David Fortunato*, Nick C. N. Lin, Randolph T. Stevenson, Mathias Wessel Tromborg

*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

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Abstrakt

Coalition governance divides policy-making influence across multiple parties, making it challenging for voters to accurately attribute responsibility for outcomes. We argue that many voters overcome this challenge by inferring parties’ policy-making influence using a simple heuristic model that integrates a number of readily available and cheaply obtained informational cues about parties (e.g., their roles in government and legislative seat shares)—while ignoring other cues that, while predictive of real-world influence, are not suitable for heuristic inference (e.g., median party status and bargaining power). Using original data from seven surveys in five countries, we show that voters’ attributions of parties’ policy-making influence are consistent with our proposed inferential strategy. Our findings suggest that while voters certainly have blind spots that cause them to misattribute policy responsibility in some situations, their attributions are generally sensible and consistent with the academic research on multiparty policy making.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftAmerican Political Science Review
Vol/bind115
Udgave nummer1
Sider (fra-til)252-268
Antal sider17
ISSN0003-0554
DOI
StatusUdgivet - feb. 2021

Bibliografisk note

Published online 14 September 2020.

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